The US killed Osama bin Laden, true, but gasoline remains over $4 a gallon in most places, the jobless rate actually went up a little last month to 9 percent, the debt continues to spiral out of control and most of the Bush policies Obama pledged to dismantle remain in place (some even aided in the killing of Osama bin Laden) as does the unpopular health care law. Is the cumulative effect of all that worthy of a huge approval rating increase for President Obama?
According to the AP, the answer to that question is, abso-friggin-lutely:
President Barack Obama’s approval rating has hit its highest point in two years — 60 percent — and more than half of Americans now say he deserves to be re-elected, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll taken after U.S. forces killed al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden.
In worrisome signs for Republicans, the president’s standing improved not just on foreign policy but also on the economy, and independent Americans — a key voting bloc in the November 2012 presidential election — caused the overall uptick in support by sliding back to Obama after fleeing for much of the past two years.
NRO’s By Jim Geraghty looked into the poll sampling a bit:
But then you get to the party ID: 46 percent identify as Democrat or leaning Democrat, 29 percent identify as Republican or leaning Republican, 4 percent identify as purely independent leaning towards neither party, and 20 percent answered, “I don’t know.”
For contrast, the AP’s immediate preceding poll was 45 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican; the likely-voter pool in October 2010 was 43 percent Democrat, 48 percent Republican. The poll’s total sample in October 2010 split 43 percent Democrat, 40 percent Republican.
With a poll sample that has a 17-percentage-point margin in favor of the Democrats, is anyone surprised that these results look like a David Axelrod dream?
Aw, come on, Jim, at least let them finish their champagne first!
Update: Here’s some saltpeter for David Axelrod: The same poll has George W. Bush’s approval at 50%, and that’s with the extra Dem-skewing 17% weighing in.