With the midterm elections less than three months away, the pollster odds are starting to roll in.
The pollsters at FiveThirtyEight give the Dems a 75 percent chance of re-taking the House:
Each bar on the histogram represents a possible breakdown of seats within the House the day after Election Day. The bar's location represents how many seats Ds or Rs have in a given scenario. The height represents the likelihood of each scenario occurring. https://t.co/AEp9HGgdYi pic.twitter.com/YSqRGYHucY
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) August 16, 2018
But then again…
Who will win the presidency? https://t.co/2uB2oqpXy4 pic.twitter.com/Xn0fYvmFq8
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) June 30, 2016
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NPR’s going all-out to help Dems keep their fingers crossed:
How To Spot The Signs Of A Coming Blue Wave https://t.co/oJEtrjSkYY
— NPR Politics (@nprpolitics) May 14, 2018
But then again…
NPR Battleground Map: Hillary Clinton Is Winning — And It's Not Close https://t.co/sYf82ByDLk
— NPR Politics (@nprpolitics) October 18, 2016
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Pollster Frank Luntz doesn’t think it looks good for the GOP:
Republican pollster Frank Luntz tells ABC News' Powerhouse Politics podcast that the GOP is unlikely to maintain a majority in Congress: https://t.co/b0OlYwYjoC
Listen ?: https://t.co/RiHnhcsMo6 pic.twitter.com/DIn5YlmUjS
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) August 9, 2018
But then again…
In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets:
Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. #ElectionNight
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 8, 2016
Anybody who uses pollster predictions as a basis for whether they’ll bother to go vote or not hasn’t been paying attention.